Kyle Bell

We’re getting closer to the midterm elections. As such, I will be posting my projections more frequently. Today, we’re going to have a look at the West Coast:
Alaska
Incumbent: Lisa Murkowski (R) – Defeated
Challenger(s): Joe Miller (R), Scott McAdams (D)
Prediction: Toss-Up
What a difference a few weeks make. Not even two weeks ago, Lisa Murkowski was ahead [...]

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We’re getting closer to the midterm elections. As such, I will be posting my projections more frequently. The last projections that I published looked at races in the Midwest and South. Now we’re going to have a look at the Great Plains/Mountain West:
Colorado
Incumbent: Michael Bennet (D)
Challenger(s): Ken Buck (R)
Prediction: Leans Democrat
Colorado is likely to be [...]

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For all of the talk in the media about how bad of an “anti-incumbent year” 2010 is turning out to be, only six members of Congress have so far been swept from power. Two of them – Senator Arlen Specter of Pennsylvania and Alabama Congressman Parker Griffith – were party switchers that had never won [...]

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We’re getting closer to the midterm elections. As such, I will be posting my projections more frequently. The last projection that I published looked at races in the Midwest. Now we’re going to have a look at the South:
Alabama
Incumbent: Richard Shelby (R)
Challenger(s): William Barnes (Democrat)
Prediction: Likely Republican
At the heart of the Deep South, Alabama is [...]

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Rep. Mark Souder hasn’t even tendered his resignation yet after having an affair with a staffer and Republicans are already lining up to replace him. One of them, a favorite of the Tea Party, announced his intentions to run on Thursday in Goshen, Indiana. Marlin Stutzman is a first term Indiana State Senator from Howe. [...]

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For the first time since 1974, the British people have elected a hung parliament in which no party has won a majority of seats. With 326 seats needed to form a majority government, the Conservative Party has failed to reach the mark that just weeks ago seemed inevitable. Overall, the Conservatives saw a 5 percent [...]

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Now that health care reform has passed both chambers of Congress and is going to be signed into law today by President Obama, the election year political messaging begins. A lot of attention has been given to the 17 House Democrats seeking re-election in districts John McCain won in 2008 after having voted for health [...]

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Republican Representative Mark Kirk easily won his primary match today against Teabag candidate Pat Hughes 56% to 19%. This sets up a fall race against Democrat Alexi Giannoulias, who won his primary with 39% of the vote against David Hoffman (34%) and Cheryle Jackson (19%). The Democrats picked the candidate most likely to hold Barack [...]

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Democratic Governor Pat Quinn of Illinois is in a fight for his political life as he faces Comptroller Dan Hynes for the party’s nomination. Quinn, who became governor after Rod Blagojevich was impeached and removed from office, is running a state that has serious fiscal problems. In this economy, that is not something that is [...]

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If you watch television at all, particularly Fox Conservative Opinion Channel (otherwise known as Fox “News”), you have probably heard a lot of Republican pundits talk about how they are going to retake the House of Representatives in the fall election. While it certainly would not be out of the realm of possibility if current [...]

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