Kyle Bell

We’re getting closer to the midterm elections. As such, I will be posting my projections more frequently. Today, we’re going to have a look at the West Coast:
Alaska
Incumbent: Lisa Murkowski (R) – Defeated
Challenger(s): Joe Miller (R), Scott McAdams (D)
Prediction: Toss-Up
What a difference a few weeks make. Not even two weeks ago, Lisa Murkowski was ahead [...]

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One week after the Alaska Republican Senate primary we have a winner. Senator Lisa Murkowski conceded defeat in a phone call to her Sarah Palin-backed far-right challenger. Joe Miller, who led by 1,668 votes after last week’s primary, was leading by 1,100 votes once counting resumed today. Some 16,000 votes had yet been counted as [...]

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Joe Miller, a political unknown supported by Sarah Palin and the Tea Party, is leading Senator Lisa Murkowski in Alaska’s Republican Senate primary by 3 points. With 84 percent of precincts reporting, Miller is ahead with 51.45% (45,188 votes) to Murkowski’s 48.55% (42,633 votes). While Miller is on-track to defeating Murkowski, the race remains undecided [...]

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We’re getting closer to the midterm elections. As such, I will be posting my projections more frequently. The last projections that I published looked at races in the Midwest and South. Now we’re going to have a look at the Great Plains/Mountain West:
Colorado
Incumbent: Michael Bennet (D)
Challenger(s): Ken Buck (R)
Prediction: Leans Democrat
Colorado is likely to be [...]

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The anti-incumbent “wave”, which I pointed out has only swept away six out of 282 incumbents so far this year, failed to topple appointed Democratic Senator Michael Bennet. The Obama-backed Bennet faced party insider and former Colorado House Speaker Andrew Romanoff. Interestingly, former President Bill Clinton endorsed Romanoff against the White House’s wishes, but his [...]

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For all of the talk in the media about how bad of an “anti-incumbent year” 2010 is turning out to be, only six members of Congress have so far been swept from power. Two of them – Senator Arlen Specter of Pennsylvania and Alabama Congressman Parker Griffith – were party switchers that had never won [...]

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Today was a historic day for gay and straight Americans alike. Judge Vaughn Walker, a federal judge for the Northern District of California, ruled that Proposition 8 is unconstitutional. His actions invalidate the initiative passed narrowly by voters in 2008 that banned gay marriage in the state of California. While Judge Walker issued a stay [...]

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A federal judge, Susan Bolton, has stepped into the immigration battle between Arizona and the federal government, stopping enforcement of the most contentious parts of the state law. The basis for the ruling is simple and one that could have been seen from a mile away: the federal government has the exclusive power to regulate [...]

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We’re getting closer to the midterm elections. As such, I will be posting my projections more frequently. The last projection that I published looked at races in the Midwest. Now we’re going to have a look at the South:
Alabama
Incumbent: Richard Shelby (R)
Challenger(s): William Barnes (Democrat)
Prediction: Likely Republican
At the heart of the Deep South, Alabama is [...]

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A federal judge in the 1st Circuit has ruled that the government’s federal ban on gay marriage is unconstitutional. The law being challenged in court, the Defense of Marriage Act (DOMA), was passed in 1996 to prevent recognition of gay marriages between states and to deny any federal recognition of marriage benefits to gay couples [...]

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