Kyle Bell

We’re getting closer to the midterm elections. As such, I will be posting my projections more frequently. The last projection that I published looked at races in the Midwest. Now we’re going to have a look at the South: Alabama Incumbent: Richard Shelby (R) Challenger(s): William Barnes (Democrat) Prediction: Likely Republican At the heart of [...]

[Read more →]

The website for my book on the 2008 election, An Election to Remember, is now live. It will be updated with reviews, sample chapters, press material and a Q&A section. I decided to purchase two domains in case people forgot “an” in the title: anelectiontoremember.com and electiontoremember.com. Both of them will work and provide you [...]

[Read more →]

While this election cycle is almost certain to return fewer Democratic members to the House and Senate, Ohio is shaping up to be a state where Democrats have a good chance of picking up a seat currently held by a Republican. George Voinovich, a former governor, is retiring from the Senate this year. Open seats [...]

[Read more →]

The 2010 midterm elections are only seven months away. Like I did in 2008, Kylebell.com is going to track the projected outcomes of the election between now and election day. I’m going to be breaking up the projections into different regions. First up is the Midwest: Indiana Incumbent: Evan Bayh (D) – Retiring Challenger(s): Rep. [...]

[Read more →]

Now that health care reform has passed both chambers of Congress and is going to be signed into law today by President Obama, the election year political messaging begins. A lot of attention has been given to the 17 House Democrats seeking re-election in districts John McCain won in 2008 after having voted for health [...]

[Read more →]

The sign on the door of the GOP is simple: “Moderates Need Not Apply”. The latest moderate GOP politician, if you can call him that, is Delaware’s lone Congressman Mike Castle. He is running for the Senate seat formerly held by Joe Biden before he became Vice President. Biden’s son Beau decided against running for [...]

[Read more →]

Governor Rick Perry of Texas has defeated Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison in the race for the GOP nomination for governor. Perry, the longest serving governor in Texas history, became governor when George W. Bush resigned to become president in 2001. His bid for a third full term was thought to be in real jeopardy when [...]

[Read more →]

The past couple weeks we have been tracking the Indiana Senate race as former senator Dan Coats announced his plans to challenge incumbent Senator Evan Bayh. Polling showed that Bayh was far ahead 55-35% and would cruise to re-election. Yet just a day before the filing deadline, Bayh announced that he would not be seeking [...]

[Read more →]

Just a day after former senator Dan Coats announced his entrance into the Indiana Senate race, a poll shows that he has a lot of ground to make up before he can call himself a “current senator”. Incumbent Democrat Evan Bayh, who enjoys a 61% approval rating in the state, leads Coats by 20 points. [...]

[Read more →]

There are interesting new poll numbers out of the states of California and Illinois. Over the weekend, the Public Policy Institute of California released polling numbers for the upcoming June 8 primary both in the race for Governor and Senate. The Democrats are favored to win both races as Republicans beat each other up in [...]

[Read more →]