Kyle Bell

Former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum accomplished two important wins in the Deep South on Tuesday – one in Alabama and the other in Mississippi – that denied front-runner Mitt Romney the opportunity to finish up the nasty GOP primary fight. While Romney’s aides publicly state that it would take an “act of God” for Santorum [...]

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Senator Olympia Snowe unexpectedly announced on Tuesday that she is retiring from the Senate. Along with her colleague Susan Collins, the two are known as the “Maine moderates” and have both consistently won re-election as Republicans in a Democratic state. She cited increased partisanship as her main reason for retiring: “I do not realistically expect [...]

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Looking back at last night’s election results and comparing them to the projections that were made on this site, we had a perfect score. The races that we had rated as “Toss-ups” split 4-2 for the Republicans, but all of the “Leans Democrat” seats stayed in Democratic hands (the only caveat is that Washington state [...]

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We are now in the final stretch of the midterm elections. We have looked at every Senate race in the country. Between now and Election Day we are going to make some revisions as needed. Adjustments Connecticut – Democrat Richard Blumenthal has opened a double-digit lead over Republican Linda McMahon. The multi-millionaire McMahon, who has [...]

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We’re now just two weeks away from the midterm elections. Today, we’re going to have a look at the Northeast: Connecticut Incumbent: Chris Dodd (D) – Retiring Challenger(s): Linda McMahon (R), Richard Blumenthal (D) Prediction: Leans Democrat Linda McMahon joins several other wealthy Republican businesswomen that have run for office this year (California’s Meg Whitman [...]

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With a little under one month to go before Election Day 2010, the fight for Congress is far from over. While Republicans had gained a sizable lead during the summer months, polling in the last few weeks has shown a tightening of the race. Several polls have even shown a Democratic lead on the generic [...]

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Apologies to readers expecting an election projection update last week. Unfortunately, while it was largely finished, my laptop was stolen from my house on Friday morning. All of the information that I had on it is now lost and will require a fresh start. It also means that my access to a computer is limited. [...]

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We’re getting closer to the midterm elections. As such, I will be posting my projections more frequently. Today, we’re going to have a look at the West Coast: Alaska Incumbent: Lisa Murkowski (R) – Defeated Challenger(s): Joe Miller (R), Scott McAdams (D) Prediction: Toss-Up What a difference a few weeks make. Not even two weeks [...]

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We’re getting closer to the midterm elections. As such, I will be posting my projections more frequently. The last projections that I published looked at races in the Midwest and South. Now we’re going to have a look at the Great Plains/Mountain West: Colorado Incumbent: Michael Bennet (D) Challenger(s): Ken Buck (R) Prediction: Leans Democrat [...]

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For all of the talk in the media about how bad of an “anti-incumbent year” 2010 is turning out to be, only six members of Congress have so far been swept from power. Two of them – Senator Arlen Specter of Pennsylvania and Alabama Congressman Parker Griffith – were party switchers that had never won [...]

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