Archive for September, 2011


Pennsylvania Voters Oppose Partisan Effort to Change Electoral Vote

Posted on: September 29th, 2011 by Kyle. | No Comments

Republican politicians in Pennsylvania have floated around the idea of changing state election law to give their party’s nominee an advantage in next year’s election. The Democratic-leaning state has not supported a Republican for president since George Bush’s father in 1988 against Michael Dukakis. Barack Obama easily defeated John McCain here in 2008 by a margin of over ten percentage points – slightly more than 600,000 votes.

So how do Republicans in the state plan on undermining President Obama in his bid for re-election?

The answer is actually pretty simple. They don’t have to raise millions of dollars, run TV ads or even get volunteers to canvass for votes. All they have to do is change a mundane election law within the state to move from a “winner-take-all” system, where the winner of the statewide race gets all Electoral Votes, to a system that is based on Congressional districts. In this system there would literally be 18 different elections for president taking place within Pennsylvania.

Let me explain. Each ten years the Census is held as required by the Constitution. Along with the Census comes Congressional redistricting where each state legislature is tasked with redrawing lines to make sure that each Congressional district has the same number of people. Since people move in and out of states, as well as around within the same state, this is a necessary reflection of the flow of people.

However, redistricting is often a partisan process. If a single party controls a state House, Senate and governor’s mansion, as the Republicans do in Pennsylvania currently, they can engineer a map that conforms to their political wishes. Essentially they are expected to produce a map where a state that voted 55% for Barack Obama in 2008 will only elect 6 Democrats to Congress next year and 12 Republicans. If Obama only carries those Democratic districts and not any Republican districts, he could win the statewide popular vote in Pennsylvania but decisively lose their Electoral Votes.

A new poll done by the independent Quinnipiac University finds that 52% of Pennsylvania voters oppose the effort to change the law to only 40% that support it. It’s no surprise that 57% of voters say that the changes being proposed are only being done to help the Republican presidential candidate. Among the all-important independent voters in the state, support for keeping winner-takes-all stands at 53%. Even Republican voters are hesitant to support these partisan efforts. 44% of Republicans say leave it alone, while 48% want the law to be changed.

“Pennsylvania voters say stick to the winner-take-all formula used in most states: Whoever gets the most popular votes, wins all of the state’s Electoral College votes,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “Overall, most Pennsylvanians think the proposal is being presented to give partisan advantage to Republicans. By large margins, Democrats and independent voters are not buying that ‘will of the voters’ argument.”

Of course because these same lawmakers get to draw up their own maps for state House and Senate districts, not just Congressional maps, what voters think might not matter all that much. The voters don’t get to decide their politicians, the politicians get to decide their voters.


Republican Presidential Debate Liveblog

Posted on: September 7th, 2011 by Kyle. | No Comments

9:50 p.m.: That’s it. The debate is over. Not much new came out of it. I watched it so that you didn’t have to. The one surprise that I had was the amount of unanimity among the candidates. The only real disagreements were over Romney’s healthcare plan (basically everyone on stage agreed that Romney’s plan sucks) and the use of the military. It’s interesting to see people like Michele Bachmann as vociferous opponents to a limited military role in Libya (a successful mission at that) when they were cheerleaders for the war in Iraq.

9:48 p.m.: Ron Paul gets asked whether he supports nutrition programs in schools, like those pioneered by former President Lyndon Johnson (and fellow Texan). He says that as long as it is done with local support, he’s fine with it. He goes on to say that the federal government has never fed people, that it’s “the market” that looks out for people. That would come as a surprise to people on Social Security, unemployment insurance, and food stamps. Where do you think their food is coming from?

9:43 p.m.: Brian Williams noted that Texas has executed over 200 death row inmates during Rick Perry’s tenure. The crowd cheers. So much for “pro-life”. Disgusting people. Death isn’t something to celebrate, especially state-sponsored murder.

9:38 p.m.: Michele Bachmann stands by her comment that the U.S. should drill for oil in the Florida Everglades.

9:36 p.m.: Rick Perry says that the verdict is out on climate change. “The fact of the matter is the science is not settled,” Perry said. This, of course, is blatantly false. The UN and other organizations comprising hundreds of scientists have stated that climate change is not only real, but caused by man. The only people casting doubt on the science are those with an economic interest to see nothing be done.

9:35 p.m.: Jon Huntsman makes the argument that Republicans can’t run away from science in the way that most Republican candidates on the stage have. “98 percent of climate scientists” agree on climate change and comments that “don’t reflect the reality of the situation” will “turn people off”.

9:30 p.m.: Perry says that he doesn’t support military adventurism, but is unwilling to criticize President Bush for getting America into an 8 year long war in Iraq and 10 year long war in Afghanistan.

9:26 p.m.: Jon Huntsman says that it’s time for America’s troops to come home from Afghanistan. Amen to that!

9:24 p.m.: Rick Perry joins every other Republican presidential candidate in saying that he would oppose a 10-to-1 spending cuts-to-tax increases debt ceiling deal.

9:23 p.m.: Mitt Romney won’t say whether he’s a member of the Tea Party.

9:20 p.m.: Jon Huntsman seems to have a Rudy Giuliani problem. Being a social moderate didn’t work for Rudy in 2008, it’s not going to work in 2012 with a Republican Party further to the right.

9:17 p.m.: Ron Paul falsely states that undocumented immigrants qualify for welfare. He sees a conspiracy behind the fence as being used to “keep us in”. At least he makes a good point that it is un-American to have a border with machine gun turrets facing our southern neighbor.

9:13 p.m.: Rick Santorum says that immigrants come to the United States to leach off of the government. I know they don’t have a lot of Latinos in Pennsylvania, but that’s a woefully uninformed statement.

9:12 p.m.: Newt Gingrich says that immigrants should come to the U.S. and learn American history. Apparently he doesn’t know much about immigration, because that’s already the law.

9:11 p.m.: Mitt Romney wants a border fence along the nearly 2,000 mile long border. Great way to create jobs, Mitt! Let’s build a new Berlin Wall. Shows how much of a welcoming country the U.S. will become under a Republican president. He also wants to end in-state tuition for undocumented immigrants.

9:04 p.m.: Williams points to billions in cuts to education in Texas, despite some of the lowest graduation rates in the country. “When you share the border with Mexico…. we have a unique situation in our state.” Interesting way to unload your failures onto Latinos.

8:59 p.m.: Newt Gingrich seems to think that he developed everything since the wheel.

8:50 p.m.: Mitt Romney says he would not call Social Security “by any measure, a failure”.

8:48 p.m.: Rick Perry repeated his line that Social Security is a “Ponzi Scheme”.

8:40 p.m.: Ron Paul does a no-no among Republicans: criticizing Ronald Reagan in his own presidential library. He says that his message was great, but that the country greatly increased its deficit during the Reagan years. Of course that’s true, but it’s not a popular line among conservatives who like to pretend that the Reagan years were the golden years for America.

8:37 p.m.: Ron Paul says that he supports eliminating the minimum wage – and that it would help the poor.

8:34 p.m.: Michele Bachmann says that she would like to see the government pull back its regulation on energy production. I assume that means she supports another Deepwater Horizon oil disaster in the Gulf of Mexico.

8:30 p.m.: Rick Santorum calls government assistance for poor people a “culture of dependency”. No mention of how to ensure that people have jobs or whether to provide unemployment insurance.

8:27 p.m.: Newt Gingrich is carrying Rick Perry’s water for him saying that the news media is attempting to get Republicans to attack each other. I understand why Romney would not like to address the fact that he supported the individual mandate and Rick Perry’s unwillingness to address 25% uninsured in Texas.

8:25 p.m.: The GOP healthcare plan is to repeal the Affordable Care Act without any solution to cover the 50 million Americans without health insurance.

8:23 p.m.: Massachusetts has nearly universal healthcare, while Texas ranks 50th with a quarter of its population uninsured. Perry doesn’t have an answer for Texas’ horrible healthcare system. He blames the federal government. Pathetic. Take some responsibility, Governor Perry.

8:21 p.m.: Mitt Romney says that he would grant a waiver to states from the same national law that was modeled after Romneycare. Nice try, Mitt.

8:15 p.m.: Ron Paul claims that government isn’t needed for air traffic control, drug safety, etc. Just let “the market” regulate itself!

8:10 p.m.: Herman Cain wants to tax corporations at a 9% rate, a flat tax rate of 9% on incomes (a giant tax cut for millionaires, essentially) and a 9% national sales tax (a huge tax increase on the poor and middle class). Herman Cain isn’t alone on flat tax. Jon Huntsman and other Republican candidates also support it.

8:09 p.m.: “Michael Dukakis created jobs three times faster than you did, Mitt.” -Rick Perry to Mitt Romney

8:03 p.m.: Brian Williams didn’t pull any punches. He points out that Texas is a leader in minimum wage jobs and has some of the worst schools in the nation. He turned to Mitt Romney and noted that Massachusetts ranked 47th in job creation during his term as governor.

8:00 p.m.: I love the positioning of these candidates in each debate. Romney and Michele Bachmann are always in the middle of the stage (Rick Perry joins them there tonight). Jon Huntsman and Rick Santorum are left nearly falling off the stage.

7:56 p.m.: Speaking of Al Gore, just saw Ron Paul’s anti-Perry ad on MSNBC.

7:47 p.m.: While we wait for things to get started, be sure to check out the article I wrote about a potential weakness that Rick Perry might have – the fact that he supported Al Gore for president. Not exactly the best selling point for a far-right conservative to have.

7:40 p.m.: I’m going to be liveblogging the Republican presidential debate at the Reagan Presidential Library in California. The debate begins at 8 p.m. on MSNBC and MSNBC.com. It will be the first debate featuring Texas Governor Rick Perry, who has quickly taken the lead in both national and state polls among GOP contenders.


Could Al Gore Be Rick Perry’s Downfall?

Posted on: September 6th, 2011 by Kyle. | No Comments

It’s only been a few weeks since he entered, but Rick Perry quickly vaulted to the top of the Republican field. He seemed like the dream candidate for Tea Party voters: he denies the existence of climate change, he calls top government officials treasonous and hints that they should be roughed up, creationism should be taught side-by-side with evolution, and women seeking an abortion should be subject to seeing an ultrasound of the fetus. Social Security is not only a Ponzi scheme for him, but it is unconstitutional. If the Tea Party were a graduation class, Rick Perry would graduate valedictorian.

But wait… in that shiny sheen of right-wing nastiness there lies a potentially mortal weakness for this living Tea Party messiah. In 1988, Rick Perry was the campaign chairman for a Senator from Tennessee… a certain Albert Gore, Jr.

Yes, that Al Gore. Cue attack ad!

If there’s one thing that Teabaggers hate more than anything, if one person unites them behind their small-minded ideology, that person would be Al Gore. Perry talks a good game today, speaking to the core concerns of a Republican Party that has been hijacked by right-wing extremists, but he is eventually going to have to answer for his past. Why did he not only support Al Gore, but act as his campaign chairman in Texas?